Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 113.972450 125.795873 137.902373 151.199152 165.366323 179.983629 196.179077
2025-05-18 88.939027 105.872257 124.092816 145.039589 168.338202 193.344325 222.097546
2025-05-25 72.027168 92.171751 114.878084 142.076838 173.480146 208.320363 249.611448
2025-06-01 60.403113 82.749517 109.040372 141.706504 180.656610 225.087025 279.063074
2025-06-08 52.136508 76.127216 105.483595 143.163023 189.357517 243.300332 310.185197
2025-06-15 47.275045 73.028305 105.633863 148.645864 202.599042 266.804023 347.714366
2025-06-22 41.965540 68.641899 103.584605 150.924083 211.613849 285.123823 379.155521
2025-06-29 36.810777 63.819905 100.422786 151.316329 217.935045 299.978268 406.390132
2025-07-06 32.821832 60.152395 98.390697 152.836185 225.447959 316.194338 435.327033
2025-07-13 30.508882 58.659521 99.127198 157.896961 237.482907 338.131660 471.548487
2025-07-20 27.875987 56.365866 98.486044 160.894224 246.707786 356.510804 503.446665
2025-07-27 25.965264 54.985671 98.991917 165.364263 257.855562 377.408204 538.695273
2025-08-03 23.709517 52.869895 98.339908 168.249857 267.066827 396.167792 571.822349
2025-08-10 19.550926 47.022219 91.610345 162.036036 263.553967 398.126831 583.336124
2025-08-17 16.631163 42.958336 87.298515 159.047167 264.275652 405.542261 601.889983
2025-08-24 14.594678 40.250830 84.920839 158.754217 268.668668 417.826681 626.878375
2025-08-31 13.130645 38.454550 83.882896 160.385778 275.758532 433.780864 656.835565
2025-09-07 12.525043 38.330736 85.630792 166.347268 289.183689 458.515480 698.710177
2025-09-14 11.427122 37.012564 85.208585 168.825901 297.512121 476.315311 731.469669
2025-09-21 10.145972 35.095890 83.577882 169.257486 302.756624 489.854928 758.589110
2025-09-28 9.158572 33.694370 82.752606 170.904646 309.775610 505.891576 789.191330
2025-10-05 8.731421 33.573294 84.253111 176.376079 322.603951 530.186623 831.216287
2025-10-12 8.074351 32.780827 84.428514 179.614519 332.063348 549.807012 867.011640